Phocuswright Research Roundup 1Q26

The changes powering travel’s next phase

Across a diverse set of first-quarter research, Phocuswright examined the forces reshaping travel from the consumer to the core of the industry. Consumer trend reports reveal a more nuanced traveler, balancing indulgence with value, redefining loyalty and rapidly adopting AI as part of the discovery and booking journey. Market analyses highlight the continued expansion of experiences and evolving distribution landscapes, alongside detailed looks at agency dynamics. At the same time, research into AI, innovation and emerging technologies underscores how automation and intelligence are accelerating change across the travel ecosystem. Regional deep dives in Asia-Pacific, Indonesia and Vietnam further ground these shifts in local market realities, while ongoing metrics tracking keeps a pulse on performance and momentum across the industry.

This roundup offers a smarter path through that work, spotlighting the insights that explain what is changing, why it matters and how the industry is responding. 

Here's a recap of the insights, data and more. (Click on each report title to access the report).

Market segments

The Outlook for Travel Experiences 2019–2029

Experiences have long been called travel’s “next big opportunity.” A decade later, the sector is no longer emerging—it is expanding. After absorbing a deeper pandemic shock than any other major travel segment, tours, activities and attractions have rebounded, surpassed pre-COVID levels and are now outpacing the broader travel industry.

The Outlook for Travel Experiences 2019–2029, produced jointly by Phocuswright and Arival, sizes and forecasts the global experiences market through 2029, examining growth by region, category and distribution channel. Overall, the $271 billion strong sector is projected to exceed $340 billion by 2029, driven by rising per-trip spend, Asia’s acceleration and steady gains in online distribution. The next phase of growth will depend not only on demand, but on whether operators and platforms can use technology to convert complexity into durable, profitable infrastructure.

Learn more about our research partner at Arival.Travel.

Key questions addressed by this report include:

  • How is the global experiences sector evolving from recovery to sustained expansion?
  • Which regions and categories are gaining momentum, and what structural forces are reshaping demand?
  • How quickly is distribution shifting online, and what does that mean for operators, OTAs and direct channels?
  • What operational and economic challenges continue to limit scale and profitability in this fragmented market?
  • How will technology — including AI-driven discovery, dynamic pricing and agent-enabled commerce — influence the future structure of distribution and marketplace power?

Free research insights article:

Canada Travel Agency Landscape 2026

Canada Travel Agency Highlights 2026 is a curated research report focusing on the Canadian travel agency distribution landscape. This year's findings are presented in interactive chart format.

Based on a comprehensive survey of Canadian travel advisors, questions answered include:

What factors do Canadian travel advisors view as most impactful for their business growth and client relationships?
What are the primary revenue streams and booking channels for Canadian travel agencies?
How do agencies attract and retain clients, and what marketing strategies are most effective?
What challenges and opportunities are shaping the future of Canadian travel agencies?
What impact, if any, does generative AI have on the segment now, and looking forward?

Free research insights article:

Tech and AI

Chinese OTAs Deploy AI for Big Global Push

China’s OTA wars have always been intense. Now they’re getting a new accelerant: AI that doesn’t just recommend trips, but reshapes how travelers search, decide, book and pay—often without a traditional “search box” at all. Major Chinese intermediaries are pairing a protected home market and fierce domestic competition with a more disciplined global expansion strategy, while inbound travel policy shifts add a third growth pillar alongside domestic and outbound. The result is a fast-evolving distribution landscape where OTAs, superapps, payments players and social platforms are converging on the same prize: owning the traveler interface. 

As AI trip-planning tools evolve toward agentic, conversational commerce, Chinese platforms are positioning to export their mobile-first hegemons—content, payments, partnerships and now AI-driven booking—into APAC first, then selectively into other regions. Chinese OTAs Deploy AI for Big Global Push traces how major Chinese players are turning these ideas into reality. Key questions answered by this research article include:

  • How are Chinese OTAs balancing global expansion ambitions with a more disciplined, policy-aware approach?
  • What is changing in China’s travel demand mix as domestic, outbound and inbound increasingly intersect—and why does inbound matter economically for OTAs?
  • How is AI shifting the travel purchase journey in China, from trip planning to conversational booking and interface transformation?
  • Which competitors beyond “pure OTAs” are shaping China’s distribution battlefield (super apps, e-commerce, payments, social and livestreaming)?
  • What lessons from China’s mobile-first, AI-enabled ecosystem are most likely to travel internationally—and where might friction emerge?

Free Research Insights article:

Travel Innovation and Technology Trends 2026

AI is no longer hovering at the edges of travel. It is now actively reshaping how trips are discovered, planned, booked and managed. Travelers are turning to AI as a starting point, businesses are embedding it into real workflows and agentic systems are beginning to act on behalf of both. This report explores where this shift is already visible, where it is accelerating and where execution, not imagination, is becoming the decisive factor. 

Travel Innovation and Technology Trends 2026 examines how generative and agentic AI impacts travel at every layer, from consumer discovery and booking to company operations, in-destination experiences, distribution and marketing. Drawing on Phocuswright research and industry signals from across the ecosystem, the report explains why 2026 marks the inflection point from experimentation to execution, as AI systems move from answering questions to taking actions. 

This year’s report introduces a “choose your own adventure” role-based reading path, designed to adapt to how readers engage with the material. Depending on where you start and which sections you explore first, the same core insights are presented through different paths and narratives tailored to distinct roles, interests and levels of technical depth. 

Key questions this research answers: 

  • How are travelers’ discovery and planning behaviors shifting as AI becomes a primary entry point into the travel ecosystem?
  • How widely are travel companies using generative AI today, and where is it showing impact across operations and customer-facing products?
  • Where are we on the curve of AI capabilities and why is now the time for urgent action?
  • What distinguishes agentic AI from chat-based gen AI, and which travel workflows are most likely to be transformed first?
  • Which enablers matter most for agentic commerce at scale, including interoperability, protocols, payments and digital identity?
  • What risks and governance challenges emerge when AI shifts from generating content to taking actions, and how should leaders respond?

Budgets, Barriers and the Race to Agentic AI

After a year of hype, generative AI has moved firmly into execution mode for the travel industry, reshaping how companies think about technology investment, product development and competitive advantage. Based on a global survey of senior travel executives, this research examines where gen AI and agentic AI are already delivering value, how budgets are shifting to support them, and what’s holding organizations back from scaling. As agentic AI gains traction, the competitive divide is increasingly defined by who can move from experimentation to infrastructure.

Key questions addressed include:

  • How are travel companies prioritizing generative and agentic AI within overall technology budgets and roadmaps?
  • Where is gen AI already being used internally and in customer-facing products, and what impact is it having so far?
  • What are the biggest barriers preventing companies from scaling AI beyond tactical use cases?
  • How prepared is the industry for the next phase of agentic AI, including interoperability standards and agent-to-agent commerce?

Free Research Insights articles:

Regional insights

A Market Rewired: Ten Structural Shifts Redefining Asia Pacific Travel

Asia Pacific travel is no longer moving in a single direction. Demographic divergence, geopolitical tension, capital discipline, infrastructure expansion and digital finance are reshaping how demand forms, where travelers go and how value is captured. The region now contains multiple, seemingly polarly opposite bands of consumers. The region simultaneously portrays a mosaic of digitally advanced ecosystems and politically sensitive corridors, where mobility and traveler trends can shift overnight.

Rather than isolating single innovations, A Market Rewired: Ten Structural Shifts Redefining Asia Pacific Travel examines how systems increasingly move in tandem, redistributing urban demand and redefining distribution via cross-industry partnerships. Overall, advantage will accrue not to players chasing nondescript volume, but to those able to adapt to structural change across demographics, capital markets, technology and geopolitics. For travel companies operating in or dependent on Asia Pacific, these shifts are no longer background context. They are core strategic inputs.

Free Research Insights article:

Online Travel Tracker: Vietnam Revealed

Who controls travel in the world’s fastest-moving markets and segments? That’s the question at the heart of the Online Travel Tracker, a new monthly market briefing developed by Phocuswright’s sister brand WiT (Web in Travel), designed to measure the real-time pulse of online travel across key global markets. Each edition highlights a single market or segment, mapping the competitive landscape across channels and connecting macro trends like infrastructure, policy, cultural norms or AI use with the realities of distribution and competition on the ground.

The inaugural edition turns to Vietnam—one of Southeast Asia’s most dynamic travel markets. A powerful mix of infrastructure expansion, domestic mobility and inbound resurgence is colliding with an increasingly competitive digital landscape. Meanwhile, established OTAs, home-grown platforms and super apps are positioning themselves to capture share in a rapidly formalizing online environment, highlighting both opportunity and fragmentation.

Layer in strong consumer appetite for AI-powered planning, embedded payments and immersive tech, and Vietnam becomes more than a growth story—it’s a preview of how digital ecosystems may evolve across emerging markets.

Online Travel Tracker: Indonesia Explored

The second installment of the Online Travel Tracker series explores how structural realities are shaping Indonesia’s evolving travel ecosystem, from infrastructure expansion and aviation competition to government tourism strategy and the rise of powerful domestic conglomerates operating across multiple travel and technology sectors.

Indonesia is one of Southeast Asia’s most dynamic—and complex—travel markets. Spanning thousands of islands and hundreds of languages, the country combines enormous domestic travel demand with a rapidly expanding digital economy. Its travel landscape is taking shape as homegrown platforms, global OTAs and emerging AI-driven tools compete for traveler attention. Domestic demand remains the engine of growth, shaped by digital payments, mobile-first behavior and localized platforms. Concurrently, regulatory uncertainty, environmental pressures and uneven infrastructure development present real constraints—as success in Indonesia’s travel market will depend on companies’ agility in one of the region’s most distinct markets.

Travel Metric of the Month

Phocuswright’s Travel Metric of the Month 2026 features fresh travel industry research published throughout the year, showcasing key data across our market sizing, consumer research, and tech and innovation practices. Each month, we will publish a new visualization that highlights a significant research trend, finding or data set, along with links to the source publication for a deeper dive.

Metrics of the Month 2025 include:

  • January: Luxury Traveler Characteristics
  • February: U.S. Travel Agency Trends
  • March: Traveler Loyalty: Membership and Usage
  • April: Travel Experiences Outlook (NEW!)

More than numbers: This is decision-grade intelligence

Phocal Point: Global Market Sizing

When the market shifts, the most prepared teams aren’t just watching — they’re already adjusting.

That’s why we’ve updated Phocal Point and our Short-Term Rental dashboard with new market sizing, sharper forecasts through 2028, and tools built for professionals who need to move with clarity — not guesswork.

Why It Matters

Every percentage point matters
Whether you're modeling revenue, sizing a market, or evaluating a new opportunity, the difference between a good guess and a precise projection adds up — fast.

Regional nuance matters
What’s happening in Western Europe isn’t what’s happening in the U.S. — and it’s definitely not what’s happening in Asia Pacific. Our updated forecasts reflect this complexity, so you don’t have to flatten it.

Distribution strategy matters
Where bookings happen — and how that’s changing — is just as important as how much they’re worth. Our STR dashboard gives you interactive access to gross bookings data by channel, year, and region. Run your own comparisons. Export your own cuts. Back your strategy with specifics.

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